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WROCŁAW UNIVERSITY
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TECHNOLOGY

Contents of PMS, Vol. 25, Fasc. 2,
pages 307 - 316
 

PROBABILITY OF FAILURE WITH DISCRETE CLAIM DISTRIBUTION

Jan Iwanik

Abstract: A concept of the probability of failure is introduced. Some popular methods of exact computation of ruin probability are adopted to compute failure probability. Based on the formula presented in [5] a generalization of a ruin probability algorithm is proposed that can also be used for failure probability. The algorithm’s computational complexity is studied and it is proved to be more effective for failure probability than for ruin probability. Finally, some numerical examples for failure probability computations are given.

2000 AMS Mathematics Subject Classification: 62P05, 68W40.

Key words and phrases: Failure probability, ruin probability, finite time.

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